April 08, 2016

GOP(e) hates you. Yes, you.

The Tea Party wing of the GOP has wised up to the fact that The Establishment (GOPe) hates them. They know it and now even GOPe isn't pretending anymore. They've basically come to the point that they're willing to lose the presidency to keep control of the party. Exhibit A:

Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus cautioned supporters of Donald Trump who vocally disapprove of the GOP's delegate allocation and selection process.

"By the way, this is a nomination for the Republican Party," Priebus told 620 WTMJ in Wisconsin. "If you don't like the party, then sit down. The party is choosing a nominee."

This is not going to endear him to anyone this side of John Boehner.

I am terrible at political prognostication. But that doesn't stop me. I see this as a major problem for the GOP. They don't want Donald. That would be conceding to The Great Unwashed that their Elders and Betters don't have control of the party. If they pull and end run around Trump and hand it to anyone else they're going to lose the significant numbers of supporters that Trump brings to the table. A brokered convention looks like a loss for the GOP.

Does that mean that the Democrats have a better candidate? No. The Sandernistas are the Bearded Spock version of Trump supporters. Hand the nomination to Hillary and watch them become incandescent with rage.

I think that literally anything can happen at this point. Paddy Power, the major bookmakers in Europe, have Hillary winning soundly. This is their business and they're not often wrong.

Posted by Duffy at April 8, 2016 01:02 PM | TrackBack

Comments  (We reserve the right to edit and/or delete any comments. If your comment is blocked or won't post, e-mail us and we'll post it for you.)

The GOPe has already lost. The closest thing they have to a candidate is Ted Cruz and despite Trumps efforts to pin him as one, he is not a minion of the GOPe.

Posted by: Jeff the Baptist at April 8, 2016 03:19 PM

"If they pull and end run around Trump and hand it to anyone else they're going to lose the significant numbers of supporters that Trump brings to the table."

I hate to break it to you, Duffy, but a Trump nomination will cause the GOP to lose even more significant numbers of supporters. That's why Trump is the only one who loses consistently to Hillary in polls. Cruz would have a helluva job on his hands in the general, but he fares better.

And let's not forget the fact that the delegate rules are on the books. Much as I dislike Trump, I'd be annoyed if the party pulled some crap outta their ass to deny him, but so far, every talk about Trump being passed over at the convention is based on long established rules. The only ones who would be upset are the low info crowd who never bothered to read the rule book. It's very possible that Trump will get the magic number, but if he doesn't, he's screwed. Delegates could still vote for him after the first go around, but the rules are clear.

"Hand the nomination to Hillary and watch them become incandescent with rage."

True, but if Trump is the nominee, they will vote for Hillary to stop him. Hillary's an unlikable shrew, but the solution to beating her is not nominating someone even more despised than she is.

"The GOPe has already lost. The closest thing they have to a candidate is Ted Cruz and despite Trumps efforts to pin him as one, he is not a minion of the GOPe."

I've said it before, and I'll say it again: I might have problems with Cruz, but to try to claim he's part of the establishment is rock stupid.

Posted by: SpideyTerry at April 11, 2016 04:00 AM

"I hate to break it to you, Duffy, but a Trump nomination will cause the GOP to lose even more significant numbers of supporters. That's why Trump is the only one who loses consistently to Hillary in polls. Cruz would have a helluva job on his hands in the general, but he fares better."

Agreed. What happens in the general is beyond me at this point. I don't even know who's going to be in that round.

"And let's not forget the fact that the delegate rules are on the books."

No. The rules are set for each convention. In the past his hasn't mattered much because the nominee was decided much earlier.

"True, but if Trump is the nominee, they will vote for Hillary to stop him."

Some will. Many will not.

"Hillary's an unlikable shrew, but the solution to beating her is not nominating someone even more despised than she is."

I can decide if that's Trump or Cruz.


Posted by: Duffy at April 13, 2016 01:06 PM

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